Ohio: Trump 48%, Biden 45%
President Trump has moved three points ahead of Democrat Joe Biden in Ohio, a state that is key to Trump’s hopes of staying in the White House.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey of Likely Voters in Ohio shows Trump with 48% support to Biden’s 45%. Two weeks ago, Biden was leading Trump 48% to 46%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Factor in those who haven’t made up their minds yet but are leaning toward one candidate or the other, and Trump gains another point to lead Biden 49% to 45%.
In 2016, Trump beat Democrat Hillary Clinton by eight points in Ohio, carrying nearly 52% of the state’s voters.
Sixty percent (60%) of voters in the Buckeye State have already voted this election cycle. Among these voters, Biden leads 52% to 42%. Among the remaining 40% who haven’t voted, Trump has a 57% to 34% advantage.
Ninety percent (90%) of all voters in Ohio have made up their minds whom they’re going to vote for. Trump leads 49% to 47% among this group.
Among the 95% who definitely plan to vote, the president has a 48% to 46% lead.
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The survey of 800 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted October 31-November 1, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters in Ohio rate the economy as the most important issue in the election. Twenty-five percent (25%) put the emphasis on Trump’s overall job performance, while 21% regard the coronavirus as the top concern. Other issues aren’t nearly as important as far as the state’s voters are concerned: racial justice (6%); national security (5%); public safety (4%); illegal immigration (2%) and something else (3%).
Trump wins 79% support among voters who emphasize the economy. Biden wins 61% of voters who see Trump’s job performance as most important and 79% of those who are most concerned about the coronavirus.
Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters in Ohio approve of the job Trump is doing, while 47% disapprove. This includes 40% who Strongly Approve and 40% who Strongly Disapprove. Trump’s job approval ratings in Ohio are comparable to what he earns nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily President Tracking Poll.
Republican Governor Mike DeWine earns 66% approval, with 26% who Strongly Approve. Just 29% disapprove of the governor’s job performance, including eleven percent (11%) who Strongly Disapprove.
More voters plan to vote in person after all as Election Day approaches, with confidence even higher that all votes will be correctly counted.
Democrats strongly agree with Biden that America is entering “a dark winter” because of the coronavirus, but other voters aren’t nearly as gloomy. Trump is more upbeat, promising a COVID-19 vaccine soon, and most voters say they’re likely to get one.
Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
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The survey of 800 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted October 31-November 1, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
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