Toplines - Arizona June 2024
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National Survey of 750 AZ Likely Voters
Conducted June 11-13, 2024, by
Rasmussen Reports
1. Biden Approval
22%
Strongly approve
21%
Somewhat approve
12%
Somewhat disapprove
44%
Strongly disapprove
1% Not sure
Asked
of 262 Republicans:
2. Would you say you consider yourself to
be primarily a Trump Republican, or do you consider yourself a traditional
Republican?
50% Trump Republican
43% Traditional Republican
7% Not
sure
Asked of 503
Republicans and Independents:
3. How likely are you to vote in this
year’s Republican Primary election?
57% Very likely
15% Somewhat likely
5% Not
very likely
15% Not at all likely
7% Not
sure
Asked
of 363 likely GOP primary voters:
4. Republican US Senate candidate Kari
Lake has been endorsed by Former President Donald Trump. Does that make you more likely or less likely
to support her?
44% More likely
21% Less likely
32% Doesn't make much difference
2% Not
sure
Asked
of 363 likely GOP primary voters:
5. If the Republican Primary for US Senate
were held today and the candidates were Kari Lake and Mark Lamb, who would you
vote for?
53% Lake
28% Lamb
7% Other
12% Not sure
6. When thinking about the elections for
President and US Senate in Arizona, which of these is the most important to
you?
2% Not
sure
7% Violent
crime
23% Border security
28% Economy
8% Climate
change
15% Abortion
4% Global
conflicts and War
3% Education
6% Government
corruption
4% Other
7. Who did you vote for in the 2020
Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump?
40% Biden
44% Trump
6% Other
10% Didn't vote
1% Note
sure
8. In the 2022 General Elections, for
Governor did you vote for Democrat Katie Hobbs or Republican Kari Lake
42% Hobbs
36% Lake
18% Didn't vote
3% Not
sure
9. How likely are you to vote in the 2024
general election in November?
79% Very likely
18% Somewhat likely
4% Not
very likely
0% Not
at all likely
0% Not
sure
10. If the 2024 Presidential election were
held today, and the candidates were President Joe Biden and Former President
Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
40% Biden
47% Trump
9% Other
3% Note
sure
11. If the 2024 Presidential election were
held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy
Jr., Cornell West, and Jill Stein, who would you vote for?
37% Biden
41% Trump
10% Kennedy
2% West
1% Stein
1% Other
7% Note
sure
12. If the elections for US Senate were
being held today, and the candidates were Republican Kari Lake and Democrat
Ruben Gallego, who would you vote for?
41% Lake
44% Gallego
5% Other
10% Not sure
13. If the elections for US Senate were
being held today, and the candidates were Republican Kari Lake, Democrat Ruben
Gallego, and Green Party candidate Arturo Hernandez who would you vote for?
39% Lake
40% Gallego
4% Hernandez
3% Other
13% Not sure
14. Do you have a very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Republican
Kari Lake?
21% Very favorable
23% Somewhat favorable
9% Somewhat
unfavorable
35% Very
unfavorable
11% Not sure
15. Do you have a very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Democrat
Ruben Gallego?
22% Very favorable
23% Somewhat favorable
16% Somewhat unfavorable
21% Very unfavorable
18% Not sure
16. In the last year or two, have rising
prices caused you to significantly change your spending habits?
70% Yes
27% No
3% Not
sure
17. The major tax cuts put in place by
President Trump are set to expire in January 2025. If a candidate supported extending Trump’s
tax cuts, would you be more or less likely to support that candidate? Or would it not make much difference?
36% More likely
22% Less likely
32% Doesn't make much difference
10% Not sure
18. Some people have accused Democrats of
politically persecuting their opponents, like Donald Trump, Steve Bannon, and
Peter Navarro. Do these criminal
proceedings make you more likely or less likely to support Democrats, or does
it not make much difference
26% More likely
37% Less likely
31% Doesn't make much difference
5% Not
sure
19. How concerned are you that cheating
will affect the outcome of the 2024 election?
33% Very concerned
27% Somewhat concerned
17% Not very concerned
17% Not at all concerned
6% Not
sure
20. Would you support or oppose
hand-counting ballots and only supplying mail-in ballots to those who request
them?
34% Strongly support
23% Somewhat support
12% Somewhat oppose
19% Strongly oppose
12% Not sure
21. In recent elections, have you or anyone
you know received more ballots than the number of registered voters at your
address?
15% Yes
74% No
10% Not sure
22. Would you support or oppose sending
troops to the southern border to stop the flow of illegal immigrants?
37% Strongly support
25% Somewhat support
14% Somewhat oppose
17% Strongly oppose
7% Not
sure
23. In general, would you support or oppose
legislation to grant amnesty to illegal aliens and allow them to become
permanent US residents?
16% Strongly support
25% Somewhat support
18% Somewhat oppose
31% Strongly oppose
11% Not sure
24. Would you support or oppose a policy of
deporting all illegal aliens?
35% Strongly support
21% Somewhat support
14% Somewhat oppose
22% Strongly oppose
9% Not
sure
25. If given a choice between two
candidates, one of whom favored granting amnesty to all illegal aliens, and one
of whom favored deporting all illegal aliens, which candidate would you vote
for?
35% Amnesty candidate
44% Deport candidate
21% Not sure
NOTE: Margin
of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence
