Colorado: Bush 47% Kerry 47%
Add Colorado to the growing list of Toss-Up states on the road to the White House. Earlier this week, new survey data moved Nevada and New Mexico to the Toss-Up Column.
Add Colorado to the growing list of Toss-Up states on the road to the White House. Earlier this week, new survey data moved Nevada and New Mexico to the Toss-Up Column.
In the race for the White House, Nevada is too close to call.
The first Rasmussen Reports Election 2004 survey in the state finds George W. Bush with 47% of the vote, John Kerry with 46%, and Libertarian Michael Badnarik with 3%.
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey of Maine voters finds Senator Kerry with 48% of the vote and President Bush with 44%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Maine by a 49% to 44% margin.
In Washington, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 44%. Four years ago, Bush lost Washington's Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.
In Ohio, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Just one month ago, Bush held a four-point lead in the state, 46% to 42%. The month before, it was Bush 46% Kerry 44% in our Ohio poll.
In Pennsylvania, the race for the White House is a virtual tie.
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Bush lost Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.
In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 44%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.
Last month, Kerry had a two-point lead in Michigan, 46% to 44%. At that time, we considered the state a Toss-Up for our Electoral College projections (we require a five-point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).
However, our mid-month update for Premium Members found Kerry ahead by six points. At that time, we moved Michigan to the "Leans Kerry" column. These latest results confirm that Michigan is still leaning slightly in the Democratic direction.
Florida, the decisive state in Election 2000 us a toss-up for Election 2004.
New Jersey remains likely to cast its Electoral Votes for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards this November.
In Oregon, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 47% of the vote and President Bush with 41%. Four years ago, Bush lost Oregon's 7 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by less than one percent of all votes cast.
The race for the six Electoral College votes from Arkansas is tied.
A Rasmussen Reports survey shows that military veterans prefer George W. Bush over John Kerry by a 58% to 35% margin. Those with no military service favor Kerry by ten percentage points, 51% to 41%.
Rasmussen Reports finds John Kerry with a 7-point lead over George W. Bush among New Mexico voters. Our first Election 2004 survey in the state shows Kerry with 50% of the vote, Bush with 43%, and Libertarian Michael Badnarik with 5%. Ralph Nader is not on the ballot in New Mexico.
In Iowa, the latest Rasmussen Reports polling data shows Senator John Kerry with 48% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Al Gore narrowly carried Iowa by a 49% to 48% margin.
In Georgia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 53% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 42%.
In Minnesota, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 49% of the vote and President Bush with 42%. That's two points closer than a month ago.
In California, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with an18-point lead over President George W. Bush, 55% to 37%. In Election 2000, Bush lost California to Al Gore by 11 points.
In Virginia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. In Election 2000, Bush won Virginia by nine percentage points, beating Al Gore 53% to 44%.
In Missouri, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 50% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. Four years ago, Bush won the state of Missouri by a narrow 50% to 47% margin.
The Bush-Cheney ticket is now enjoying its biggest lead of the year in North Carolina. The state may be home to the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee, but its Electoral Votes look like they are once again heading into the Republican column.