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Toplines - NUSA August 2024 Montana

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National Survey of 835 Montana Likely Voters

Conducted August 13-20, 2024

by Rasmussen Reports and NumbersUSA

 

1* Biden Approval

 

20% Strongly approve

16% Somewhat approve

27% Somewhat disapprove

34% Strongly disapprove

  3% Not sure

 

2* 2020 Vote

 

32% Biden

52% Trump

  6% Other

  8% Didn't vote

  2% Not sure

 

3* Likely 2024?

 

88% Very likely

  9% Somewhat likely

  1% Not very likely

  1% Not at all likely

  1% Not sure

 

4* If the 2024 presidential election was held today, and the main candidates were Vice President Kamala Harris and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

 

35% Harris

58% Trump

  6% Other

  1% Not sure

 

5* If the 2024 candidates for president were Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel, West, Jill Stein and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for?

 

31% Harris

58% Trump

  7% Kennedy

  0% West

  0% Stein

  0% Oliver

  1% Other

  2% Not sure

 

Answered by 260 respondents who would vote for Kamala Harris:

 

6* How enthusiastic are you about your vote for Kamala Harris, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not very enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?

 

58% Very enthusiastic

27% Somewhat enthusiastic

  3% Not very enthusiastic

11% Not at all enthusiastic

  0% Not sure

 

Answered by 481 respondents who would vote for Donald Trump:

 

7* How enthusiastic are you about your vote for Donald Trump, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not very enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?

 

71% Very enthusiastic

21% Somewhat enthusiastic

  7% Not very enthusiastic

  0% Not at all enthusiastic

  1% Not sure

 

8* If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or for the Republican candidate?

 

35% Democrat

56% Republican

  9% Not sure

 

9* For senate, would you vote for Democrat Jon Tester or Republican Tim Sheehy?

 

43% Tester

50% Sheehy

  4% Someone else

  3% Not sure

 

10* Jon Tester has received an F grade from the non-partisan think tank NumbersUSA for supporting illegal alien amnesty and votes against increased border security.  Does that make you more likely or less likely to support him?

 

20% More likely

53% Less likely

23% No difference

  4% Not sure

 

11* When thinking about the elections for President, which of these is the most important to you?

 

  2% Not sure

  5% Violent crime

17% Border security

37% Economy

  6% Climate change

10% Abortion

  3% Global conflicts & war

  4% Education

12% Government corruption

  4% Other

 

12* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Kamala Harris?

 

20% Very favorable

16% Somewhat favorable

  7% Somewhat unfavorable

54% Very unfavorable

  3% Not sure

 

13* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Donald Trump?

 

39% Very favorable

17% Somewhat favorable

  9% Somewhat unfavorable

34% Very unfavorable

  1% Not sure

 

14* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of JD Vance?

 

31% Very favorable

15% Somewhat favorable

12% Somewhat unfavorable

26% Very unfavorable

16% Not sure

 

15* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Tim Walz?

 

20% Very favorable

13% Somewhat favorable

  8% Somewhat unfavorable

41% Very unfavorable

17% Not sure

 

16* Importance of inflation when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

66% Very important

22% Somewhat important

  8% Not very important

  2% Not at all important

  2% Not sure

 

17* Importance of the economy when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

74% Very important

22% Somewhat important

  2% Not very important

  1% Not at all important

  1% Not sure

 

18* Importance of abortion when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

42% Very important

24% Somewhat important

15% Not very important

14% Not at all important

  5% Not sure

 

19* Importance of illegal immigration when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

58% Very important

23% Somewhat important

15% Not very important

  4% Not at all important

  1% Not sure

 

20* Importance of government corruption when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

69% Very important

21% Somewhat important

  5% Not very important

  3% Not at all important

  2% Not sure

 

21* Importance of education when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

54% Very important

34% Somewhat important

10% Not very important

  1% Not at all important

  2% Not sure

 

22* In general, have the immigration policies of the Biden administration been very successful, somewhat successful, somewhat unsuccessful or very unsuccessful?

 

 8% Very successful

21% Somewhat successful

16% Somewhat unsuccessful

48% Very unsuccessful

  7% Not sure

 

23* Would Kamala Harris’ immigration policies be better or worse than Joe Biden’s policies?

 

17% Better

38% Worse

34% About the same

12% Not sure

 

24* When thinking about Former President Donald Trump’s presidency, were his immigration policies very successful, somewhat successful, somewhat unsuccessful or very unsuccessful?

 

44% Very successful

19% Somewhat successful

11% Somewhat unsuccessful

23% Very unsuccessful

  2% Not sure

 

25* Would Donald Trump’s immigration policies be better or worse than Joe Biden’s policies?

 

61% Better

28% Worse

  8% About the same

  4% Not sure

 

26* On the question of illegal immigration, is the government doing too much or too little to reduce illegal border crossings and visitor overstays?  Or is the level of action about right?

 

10% Too much

67% Too little

15% About right

  8% Not sure

 

27* Some people claim that the millions of illegal immigrants who have come to the U.S. in the last four years has created a severe shortage of housing, forcing rent prices and house price to rise. Do you agree or disagree?

 

38% Strongly agree

26% Somewhat agree

11% Somewhat disagree

19% Strongly disagree

  6% Not sure

 

28* Is the situation at the US-Mexico border a crisis?

 

65% Yes

25% No

10% Not sure

 

29* How likely is it that the increased illegal immigration in the past few years was purposely allowed by the Biden administration?

 

47% Very likely

16% Somewhat likely

18% Not very likely

15% Not at all likely

  5% Not sure

 

30* In general, would you support or oppose legislation to grant amnesty to illegal aliens and allow them to become permanent U.S. residents?

 

17% Strongly support

19% Somewhat support

18% Somewhat oppose

41% Strongly oppose

  6% Not sure

 

31* Illegal immigration and border security are top issues for some Americans. Which aspect of illegal immigration and border security are most important to you?

 

36% Taxpayer resources going to immigrants here illegally

  8% Wage stagnation or depression

23% Crime

  4% Competition for working class jobs

11% Sanctuary cities protecting criminal illegal aliens

19% Not sure

 

32* Would you support or oppose a policy of deporting all illegal aliens?

 

37% Strongly support

29% Somewhat support

12% Somewhat oppose

19% Strongly oppose

  4% Not sure

 

33* If given a choice between two candidates, one of whom favored granting amnesty to illegal aliens and one of whom favored deporting all illegal aliens, which candidate would you vote for?

 

29% Amnesty candidate

60% Deportation candidate

11% Not sure

 

34* In general, would you support or oppose legislation to give taxpayer-funded benefits to illegal aliens?

 

  9% Strongly support

14% Somewhat support

16% Somewhat oppose

57% Strongly oppose

  5% Not sure

 

35* Do you support having sanctuary cities in your state?

 

12% Strongly support

14% Somewhat support

10% Somewhat oppose

54% Strongly oppose

10% Not sure

 

36* Do you support or oppose legislation to implement E-Verify, which would make it harder for businesses to hire illegal aliens?

 

42% Strongly support

25% Somewhat support

14% Somewhat oppose

  9% Strongly oppose

  9% Not sure

 

 

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence