Election 2026: Georgia Senate

Georgia’s Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff has a solid lead over Republican challenger Rep. Mike Collins, and may even be able to avoid a runoff.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the election were held today, 51% of Likely Georgia voters would vote for Ossoff, while 42% would vote for Collins. Six percent (6%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Ossoff was elected six years ago by a narrow margin after a runoff against former Republican Sen. David Perdue. Ossoff is supported by 91% of Democrats, 15% of Republicans and 51% of voters not affiliated with either major party. Eighty-three percent (83%) of Republicans would vote for Collins, as would seven percent (7%) of Democrats and 34% of unaffiliated voters. Fifteen percent (15%) of unaffiliated Georgia voters are undecided.

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The survey of 1,019 Georgia Likely Voters was conducted on September 14, 2026 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Ossoff is supported by 34% of whites, 84% of black voters, 57% of Hispanics and 55% of other minorities, while Collins is favored by 60% of whites, 12% of black voters, 31% of Hispanics and 34% of other minorities.

Ossoff leads by 15 points, 55% to 40%, among women voters, and leads 47% to 45% among men.

Collins leads by 18 points, 59% to 40%, among voters 65 and older, but Ossoff leads among all voters under 65.

Ossoff leads in every income category, with his widest margin – 23 points – among voters earning more than $200,000 a year.

Married voters favor Collins by a six-point margin, while Ossoff leads by 22 points among unmarried voters.

Among those who voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election, 90% would vote for Ossoff, while 77% of those who voted for Donald Trump favor Collins.

Alaska’s incumbent Republican Sen. Dan S. Sullivan is tied with Democratic challenger Mary Peltola in a contest where ranked-choice voting will determine the winner with four names on the November ballot.

No issue will be more important than the economy in deciding how they vote in this year’s midterm elections, most voters say.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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