Political Commentary

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July 15, 2021Republican Governors Draw Primary Challengers, But History Suggests They Face Long Odds By J. Miles Coleman
Checking in on gubernatorial races in Georgia, Massachusetts, Ohio, Texas, and elsewhere.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— With months to go until the 2022 gubernatorial primaries, several Republican governors have drawn notable primary challengers.
— Still, it is relatively rare for sitting governors to lose renomination, and all GOP incumbents appear to be favored in their primaries.
— Most, though not all, Republican primary challengers who have emerged are running to the right of their incumbents.
— While we’re holding off on making any ratings changes for now, any primary upsets may prompt us to reevaluate some races.
July 14, 2021Break Rules By John Stossel
America has so many regulations that today, often the only way to do something new, to create something great, to prosper is to ignore rules.
July 13, 2021OPEC and Big Oil's New Best Friend, Joe Biden By Stephen Moore
The price of oil surged to $75 a barrel the other day under President Joe Biden's green energy policies. The price was as low as $35 a barrel under former President Donald Trump because he believed in American energy dominance ("Drill, baby, drill"). So, more oil meant lower prices at the pump. It was effectively a massive, multibillion-dollar tax cut for lower- and middle-income earners of tens of billions of dollars a year.
July 13, 2021Are the Good Times Over for Biden? by Patrick J. Buchanan
Are the Democrats headed for their Little Bighorn, with President Joe Biden as Col. Custer? The wish, you suggest, is father to the thought. Yet, consider.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            July 9, 2021When Did COVID-19 Really Begin? By Brian C. Joondeph
COVID-19 had been a global scourge approaching two years now. Anything that could be politicized has been, from public health recommendations to therapeutics and vaccines.
July 9, 2021Both Parties Fail to Respond to Signals in the Political Marketplace by Michael Barone
I like to apply free market analysis to American politics. Within established laws, politicians compete for votes and are rewarded for maximizing voters' preferences. As in economics, there are sometimes market failures, but mostly the system seems to be self-regulating.
July 9, 2021Is Afghanistan a Failed Mission? By Patrick J. Buchanan
As in Vietnam from 1965 to 1973, the year our prisoners of war came home, America did not lose a major battle in Afghanistan.
July 8, 2021Where Both Parties Overperform in the House By Louis Jacobson
Comparing how many seats they have versus how many the 2020 presidential results would have suggested.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— As we head into a once-a-decade redistricting cycle, we analyzed which states have one party that is currently overperforming in its House delegation compared to that party’s share of the 2020 presidential vote.
— Overall, the GOP has notched notable overperformances in 19 medium-to-large-sized states, compared to 11 for the Democrats. However, the total number of excess seats for each party from these states is roughly in balance, though Republicans have a slight edge: 32 for the GOP, 28 for the Democrats.
— The three biggest sources of excess seats for the GOP today — Texas, Ohio, and Florida — could provide additional excess seats in the coming redistricting round, given the fact that each state has unified Republican control of state government. The Democrats’ options for squeezing out additional seats are more limited because many of their biggest sources of excess seats have a commission system for redistricting.
July 7, 2021Big Business Loves Big Government By John Stossel
Politicians say they pass laws to "protect Americans from big business."
July 6, 2021Whatever Happened to Property Rights? by Stephen Moore
I'm no lawyer, that's for sure, and so I don't have expertise on the intricacies of the law, but I am angry as a hornet by the recent Supreme Court decision upholding the federal "eviction moratorium."
July 6, 2021As America Recedes, China Rises By Patrick J. Buchanan
As our July Fourth celebrations were beginning, the U.S. quietly closed and abandoned Bagram Air Base, the largest American military base between the Persian Gulf and the South China Sea.
July 2, 2021EU to Orban: Back Gay Rights or Get Out! by Patrick Buchanan
Respect LBGT rights or get out of the EU, Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte instructed Hungary's Viktor Orban at last week's gathering of the European Union in Brussels.
July 2, 2021New York Mayoral Primary Shows Split Between Democratic Constituencies by Michael Barone
New York City's notoriously incompetent election officials have not finished tabulating the votes in the June 22 Democratic primary, with its novel ranked choice voting system. But the first choices of voters -- minus some 124,000 absentees -- nevertheless reveal some important things about the differences between different segments of the Democratic coalition in America's largest city.
July 1, 2021Inconclusive Studies of 2020’s Pre-Election Polling Problems Could Be Good for the Industry By Natalie Jackson
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Following another presidential election in which pre-election polls often understated support for Donald Trump, the polling industry is once again trying to figure out what went wrong.
— An American Association for Public Opinion Research task force pointed to a lack of education weighting in its post-2016 assessment, but that did not fix the problems with 2020 polls.
— That the AAPOR has not identified a specific problem with the 2020 polls may actually be a good thing for pollsters.
June 30, 2021The Right to Bear Arms By John Stossel
Would carrying a gun make you feel safer?
June 29, 2021The Return of the Corporate Welfare State by Stephen Moore
No one is paying much attention, but Washington is building up a vast new multitrillion-dollar welfare class: corporate America.
June 29, 2021Boris Johnson Defies Vladimir Putin's Claim to Crimea By Patrick J. Buchanan
About that clash between a British destroyer and Russian warplanes and warships in the Black Sea last week there are conflicting versions.
June 25, 2021Charles Murray's Two Uncomfortable Truths and His Not Bad Advice by Michael Barone
Give Charles Murray, longtime scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, credit for courage. Again and again, despite outrageously unfair attacks, he has returned to the public arena and persisted in telling unwelcome truths. In his meticulous prose, with charts and tables so elegant as to betray an aesthetic bent, he makes his points with precision and clarity.
June 25, 2021The Return of 'Law and Order' By Patrick J. Buchanan
On Tuesday, Brooklyn Borough President and former police captain Eric Adams took the lead in the New York mayoral race with 32% of the Democratic primary vote, 10 points more than progressive Maya Wiley, who had the endorsement of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
June 24, 2021The States: Recent Candidate Decisions Could Lead to More One-Party Rule By Kyle Kondik
A look at who controls statewide executive offices across the country.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Currently, one party controls all of the statewide elected executive offices in 36 of the 50 states.
— Candidate decisions by down-ballot executive officeholders in Florida and Missouri could make Republican statewide sweeps easier in those states, and Democrats may have opportunities to sweep more states on their side.

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If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

Republican Governors Draw Primary Challengers, But History Suggests They Face Long Odds By J. Miles Coleman

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Break Rules By John Stossel

OPEC and Big Oil's New Best Friend, Joe Biden By Stephen Moore

Are the Good Times Over for Biden? by Patrick J. Buchanan

When Did COVID-19 Really Begin? By Brian C. Joondeph

Both Parties Fail to Respond to Signals in the Political Marketplace by Michael Barone

Is Afghanistan a Failed Mission? By Patrick J. Buchanan

Where Both Parties Overperform in the House By Louis Jacobson

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Big Business Loves Big Government By John Stossel

Whatever Happened to Property Rights? by Stephen Moore

As America Recedes, China Rises By Patrick J. Buchanan

EU to Orban: Back Gay Rights or Get Out! by Patrick Buchanan

New York Mayoral Primary Shows Split Between Democratic Constituencies by Michael Barone

Inconclusive Studies of 2020’s Pre-Election Polling Problems Could Be Good for the Industry By Natalie Jackson

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

The Right to Bear Arms By John Stossel

The Return of the Corporate Welfare State by Stephen Moore

Boris Johnson Defies Vladimir Putin's Claim to Crimea By Patrick J. Buchanan

Charles Murray's Two Uncomfortable Truths and His Not Bad Advice by Michael Barone

The Return of 'Law and Order' By Patrick J. Buchanan

The States: Recent Candidate Decisions Could Lead to More One-Party Rule By Kyle Kondik

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

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