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Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

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April 15, 2021

The Mini-Midterms: Five Takeaways from Six Decades of House Special Elections By Kyle Kondik

Races often break against president’s party; winners rarely lose next election.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— There have been nearly 300 U.S. House special elections since the mid-1950s.

— These elections more often flipped against the party that holds the White House — just like what often happens to the president’s party in midterm House elections — but the president’s party has scored some noteworthy wins, too, which can cloud the predictive value of special elections.

— Special election winners rarely lose their next election, but it does happen.

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April 14, 2021

Crowder Calls Out Censorship By John Stossel

The most viewed conservative commentator on YouTube is Steven Crowder with his channel, Louder with Crowder.

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April 13, 2021

Biden's Green Energy Plan Declares War on American Energy, A Commentary by Stephen Moore

Am I the only one who finds it head-scratching that President Joe Biden, who wants to spend $2 trillion of taxpayer money on "infrastructure," is the same president whose first act in the White House was to kill a multibillion-dollar oil and gas pipeline that would create some 15,000 jobs? The Keystone pipeline that he canceled was vital to our energy infrastructure and wasn't going to cost taxpayers a penny.

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April 13, 2021

Putin & Xi Have Red Lines, Too By Patrick J. Buchanan

What are Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping up to?

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April 9, 2021

Will Joe Biden's Jim Crow Big Lie Boomerang? by Michael Barone

The big lie works -- until it doesn't.

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April 9, 2021

Vaccine Patriotism vs. Vaccine Globalism By Patrick J. Buchanan

When the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines first proved their efficacy, preventing nearly 95% of coronavirus infections in those who got the shots in test trials, a vexing issue immediately arose.
Who should get priority in receiving these life-saving shots?

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April 8, 2021

Did Scandal Cost North Carolina Democrats a Senate Seat? By J. Miles Coleman

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— In North Carolina’s hotly contested Senate race last year, Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) narrowly won reelection against a scandal-plagued opponent, former state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D-NC).

— Had Cunningham’s candidacy not been weighed down by a personal affair, he may have still lost. Indeed, a Tillis win was consistent with other results around the country and in the state.

— Still, Cunningham certainly didn’t benefit from his scandal, and it very likely cost him votes.

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April 7, 2021

Biden's California Dream by John Stossel

I was surprised to read (in The Los Angeles Times) that the Biden administration's "role model for America" is... California! He wants to "Make America California."
That's is a terrible idea.

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April 6, 2021

For What Should We Fight Russia or China? By Patrick J. Buchanan

Last Monday, in a single six-hour period, NATO launched 10 air intercepts to shadow six separate groups of Russian bombers and fighters over the Arctic, North Atlantic, North Sea, Black Sea and Baltic Sea.

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April 6, 2021

States Fight Back Against Biden War on the West by Stephen Moore

President Ronald Reagan used to refer to our country as "these United States," not "the United States."

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April 2, 2021

Too Much Risk Aversion Is Too Risky by Michael Barone

"This is not politics," President Joe Biden said last week. "Reinstate the mandate if you let it down." Give him credit for consistency: When Gov. Greg Abbott ended Texas' mask mandate last month, Biden called it "Neanderthal thinking."

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April 2, 2021

Joe Biden's Bid to Remake America By Patrick J. Buchanan

If Joe Biden's American Jobs Program, outlined in Pittsburgh, is enacted, then the federal government will take a great leap forward toward irreversible control of the destiny of the Republic.

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April 1, 2021

Demographics and Expectations: Analyzing Biden and Trump’s Performances By Lakshya Jain

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— The predictive power of demographics makes county margins strongly correlated and thus inferable from each other. Comparing the actual results to the expected results based on county demographics gives us a better idea of candidate performance.

— In the 2020 presidential election, Democrats overperformed in states with high numbers of educated white voters, such as Texas, Arizona, and Georgia. They also began to show signs of hitting their electoral floors in much of Appalachia.

— Strong Republican showings with evangelicals, non-college whites, and Hispanics helped Trump overperform in Florida, Iowa, and Ohio.

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March 31, 2021

Woke Colleges by John Stossel

Did you take the SATs to try to get into college? Your kids may not have to.

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March 30, 2021

Are Democrats Dangerous to Your Health? by Stephen Moore

Rep. Jack Kemp used to say that minority voters "don't care what you know until they know that you care." Democrats have cleaned up with Black and Hispanic voters (although a little less so with each passing election) by professing how much they care.

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March 30, 2021

Autocracy vs. Democracy or China vs. America? By Patrick J. Buchanan

"I've known Xi Jinping for a long time. ... He doesn't have a democratic -- with a small 'd' -- bone in his body," said Joe Biden in his first press conference as president, and then he ambled on:

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March 26, 2021

Can the Biden Administration Stop China? by Michael Barone

The acrid atmosphere last week at the Captain Cook Hotel in Anchorage, Alaska, with its vivid murals of the 18th-century British seafarer James Cook's discoveries throughout the Pacific, sounds very much like the acrid atmosphere almost exactly 60 years ago in the Beaux-Arts American and Soviet embassies in Vienna: grim, at least for the United States.

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March 26, 2021

Why Putin's Pipeline Is Welcome in Germany By Patrick J. Buchanan

During a joint interview with Jens Stoltenberg, the Norwegian secretary-general of NATO, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, fresh from his bout with the Chinese in Anchorage, took on Angela Merkel and the Germans.

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March 25, 2021

The House: Unclear Lines, Clear Expectations By Kyle Kondik

Redistricting delays cloud the seat-by-seat picture, but midterm history suggests a Republican edge.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— Delays in the redistricting process mean that we won’t be releasing Crystal Ball House district ratings for the foreseeable future.

— However, midterm history along with GOP advantages in redistricting make the Republicans clear, though not certain, favorites to win the House next year.

— Recent midterm history helps illustrate some of the Democratic vulnerabilities if this cycle breaks against the White House, as it did in the past four midterms.

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March 24, 2021

Get Off My Property! by John Stossel

Before dawn, dozens of union activists invaded a strawberry farm, shouting through bullhorns. This frightened workers and infuriated the farm's owner, Mike Fahner, who thought that in America, owning property means you have a right to control access to that property -- your home is your castle, and all that.

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