Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

June 10, 2021Forecasting the 2022 Midterm Election with the Generic Ballot By Alan I. Abramowitz
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— National House generic ballot polling can be a useful tool in projecting the overall results of House and Senate elections.
— The president’s party often loses ground in midterms, but the magnitude of those losses varies greatly depending on the national political environment and the seats held by each party prior to the election.
— A model using the generic ballot and seat exposure shows that a single digit lead on the generic ballot would give Democrats a good chance to keep control of the Senate. Given the expected impact of redistricting, however, Democrats probably need a larger lead to keep control of the House.
June 9, 2021The Climate Censors by John Stossel
Whom does Facebook trust to censor?
June 8, 2021Sorry, Joe: Fixing Roads and Bridges Doesn't Cost $2 Trillion By Stephen Moore
The Biden White House is furiously trying to cajole congressional Republicans into signing off on his $2 trillion "infrastructure bill." So far, they've held firm in saying not just no but "hell, no" to new taxes and spending to pay for all this.
June 8, 2021What Is America's Cause in the World? by Patrick J. Buchanan
"Take away this pudding; it has no theme," is a comment attributed to Winston Churchill, when a disappointing dessert was put in front of him.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            June 7, 2021Doctor Fauci’s Fabulous Fall from Fame By Brian C. Joondeph
Dr. Anthony Fauci, longtime director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, has been the face of the United States COVID-19 response. He has achieved godlike status within the media and celebrity smart set. His words are treated as gospel, to be accepted without question regarding all things COVID-19.
June 4, 2021Facebook's Speech Suppression Argues for Repeal of Section 230 and a Facebook Stock Price of Zero by Michael Barone
"A lot of people have egg on their face" for dismissing the COVID-19 lab leak theory, tweeted ABC News ' Jonathan Karl this week. "Some things may be true even if Donald Trump said them."
June 4, 2021Democratic Showdown: Kamala vs. Manchin By Patrick J. Buchanan
Speaking in Tulsa on the 100th anniversary of the racial atrocity there, Joe Biden belatedly turned to the issue of voting rights, to explain why he is having such difficulty winning passage of the party's priority legislation.
June 3, 2021Differential Privacy and the Upcoming Process of Redistricting By Teresa A. Sullivan and Qian Cai
New method of protecting privacy in census may cause problems for drawing districts.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— The U.S. Census Bureau is required by law to protect the confidentiality of census respondents.
— The bureau is using a new method called “differential privacy” as part of the 2020 census to fuzz up the data in order to prevent individual respondents from being potentially identified.
— However, the use of differential privacy may cause problems in the upcoming redistricting process by injecting inaccurate information into the granular census data required to draw districts of equal sizes and to ensure fair racial representation.
June 2, 2021Roundabouts Are Better by John Stossel
I hate waiting at traffic lights.
There's a solution: traffic circles, or roundabouts. 
June 2, 2021Were the Wars Wise? Were They Worth It? by Patrick J. Buchanan
Through the long Memorial Day weekend, anyone who read the newspapers or watched television could not miss or be unmoved by it: Story after story after story of the fallen, of those who had given the "last full measure of devotion" to their country.
June 1, 2021Suddenly, 'The Population Bomb' Is a Population Bust by Stephen Moore
Paul Ehrlich wrote one of the most famous and bestselling books of the 20th century. It was called "The Population Bomb." It was 300 pages of doom and gloom. The planet was being destroyed because human beings were reproducing like Norwegian field mice. It was a Darwinian nightmare leading the species inexorably back to a Neanderthal subsistence level existence.
May 28, 2021Does Our Diversity Portend Disintegration? by Patrick J. Buchanan
After nine people were shot to death by a public transit worker, who then killed himself in San Jose, the latest mass murder in America, California Governor Gavin Newsom spoke for many on the eve of this Memorial Day weekend.
May 27, 2021The Senate: Sununu’s Vital Choice By Kyle Kondik
The New Hampshire governor’s decision looms large over the 2022 map.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Even as Senate elections become more and more about a state’s presidential partisanship, the individual decisions of candidates matter a lot. There are a number of important candidate choices that helped define recent Senate cycles.
— Gov. Chris Sununu’s (R-NH) decision as to whether he will challenge Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) could be the most important candidate choice of the 2022 cycle.
— While Republicans will target vulnerable Democrats in states that are more competitive at the presidential level than New Hampshire, they very well may struggle to produce a candidate in those states as proven as Sununu.
May 26, 2021'Are You on the Take?' by John Stossel
Home prices keep climbing. It's another reason to let people build housing.
May 25, 2021Biden's 'Gas Tax' Is a Pain at the Pump by Stephen Moore
One of my early memories, and not a happy one, is sitting in gas lines in the 1970s. My parents would rustle me out of bed early on frigid February mornings, and we'd pack into the Ford and speed over to the gas station.
May 25, 2021Merkel Flips Off Biden's Protest -- to Buy Putin's Gas by Patrick J. Buchanan
When the U.S. created NATO, a primary purpose of the alliance was to serve as a western wall to defend Germany against the 400,000 Russian troops on the eastern side of the Elbe River.
May 21, 2021Reform Prosecutors May Hang on, but National Democrats May Not by Michael Barone
This week's Democratic primary election for Philadelphia district attorney could presage outcomes in the 2022 and 2024 elections, but not in the way the winner would like.
May 21, 2021Did the GOP Just Dodge a Bullet? By Patrick J. Buchanan
When he took the floor of the Senate to reject the Democrats' Jan. 6 Commission, Mitch McConnell may have salvaged his party's chances to recapture the House in 2022.
May 20, 2021The House: Democrats Would Have a Tough Slog Even Without Redistricting By Kyle Kondik
Our hypothetical ratings of House 2022 if no district lines changed.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— The reapportionment of House seats and pending redistricting has prevented us from releasing U.S. House ratings so far this cycle.
— While Republicans stand to gain from this process, they would be favored to win the House even if the district lines were not changing.
— Rating the House races based on the current lines shows many more Democratic seats in the Toss-up column than Republican ones. These hypothetical ratings are guided by developments in the 2022 campaign so far as well as the normal tendency for the president’s party to lose ground in the House in midterms.
May 19, 2021Labor Shortage Caused by Government by John Stossel
America has a record 8.1 million job openings.

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If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

Forecasting the 2022 Midterm Election with the Generic Ballot By Alan I. Abramowitz

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

The Climate Censors by John Stossel

Sorry, Joe: Fixing Roads and Bridges Doesn't Cost $2 Trillion By Stephen Moore

What Is America's Cause in the World? by Patrick J. Buchanan

Doctor Fauci’s Fabulous Fall from Fame By Brian C. Joondeph

Facebook's Speech Suppression Argues for Repeal of Section 230 and a Facebook Stock Price of Zero by Michael Barone

Democratic Showdown: Kamala vs. Manchin By Patrick J. Buchanan

Differential Privacy and the Upcoming Process of Redistricting By Teresa A. Sullivan and Qian Cai

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Roundabouts Are Better by John Stossel

Were the Wars Wise? Were They Worth It? by Patrick J. Buchanan

Suddenly, 'The Population Bomb' Is a Population Bust by Stephen Moore

Does Our Diversity Portend Disintegration? by Patrick J. Buchanan

The Senate: Sununu’s Vital Choice By Kyle Kondik

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

'Are You on the Take?' by John Stossel

Biden's 'Gas Tax' Is a Pain at the Pump by Stephen Moore

Merkel Flips Off Biden's Protest -- to Buy Putin's Gas by Patrick J. Buchanan

Reform Prosecutors May Hang on, but National Democrats May Not by Michael Barone

Did the GOP Just Dodge a Bullet? By Patrick J. Buchanan

The House: Democrats Would Have a Tough Slog Even Without Redistricting By Kyle Kondik

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Labor Shortage Caused by Government by John Stossel

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