If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

White letter R on blue background
June 12, 2008

On Issues, Obama Poetry Won't Rhyme By Froma Harrop

Barack Obama is such a stand-up guy that he'll stand up twice -- once for each side of an issue. The poetry reading on change and hope is over. Now that he has to talk about real policy, there's little rhyme in the rhythm.

White letter R on blue background
June 12, 2008

Congressional Combat, Continued By Larry J. Sabato

Last December, when we first sketched out the upcoming House elections , we suggested that Democrats were likely to have a good year. Nothing has changed our forecast in the six months since, and if anything, we now see November 2008 as probably the best year Democrats have had in many a moon.

White letter R on blue background
June 12, 2008

Decline of the Senate By Robert Novak

Sen. Arlen Specter, at age 78 suffering from cancer, was feeling miserable Monday following chemotherapy the previous Friday. But believing the best antidote was hard work, Specter took the Senate floor with a speech different in kind from the partisan oratory now customary in the chamber.

White letter R on blue background
June 11, 2008

The Other Forty Percent By Susan Estrich

Everyone knows what the "right" answer is to the question of whether you would be willing to vote for an African-American for president. The "right" answer is yes. What's surprising is not how many people say yes, but how many don't.

White letter R on blue background
June 10, 2008

How Obama Can Win By Dick Morris

Most aspiring presidents and prime ministers face a myriad of challenges as they embark on their journey.

White letter R on blue background
June 10, 2008

Pro-Choice Democrats and John McCain By Froma Harrop

Hillary Clinton's blessing notwithstanding, many of the New York senator's supporters will resist the handover to Barack Obama. The sexism that permeated the recent campaign still rankles, and John McCain is far from the standard-issue Republican they instinctively vote against.

White letter R on blue background
June 9, 2008

McCain's Evangelical Problem By Robert Novak

Shortcomings by John McCain's campaign in the art of politics are alienating two organizations of Christian conservatives. James Dobson's Focus on the Family is estranged following the failure of Dobson and McCain to talk out their differences.

White letter R on blue background
June 7, 2008

General Election Campaign Begins With New Playing Field By Michael Barone

Almost precisely at the midpoint between the Iowa caucuses on Jan. 3 and the general election on Nov. 4, the general election campaign is on. Neither party's nominee swept the primaries.

White letter R on blue background
June 7, 2008

A McCain Mistake By Robert Novak

Sen. John McCain had just begun his speech from Kenner, La., on the year's last primary election night when distraught Republicans began e-mailing each other this message: Is it possible at this late hour for our presidential candidate to learn to read a teleprompter?

White letter R on blue background
June 6, 2008

Gay Marriage -- and Divorce: A Commentary by Susan Estrich

"Today is a great day not only for every lesbian and gay couple who wants to get married, but for every Californian who believes in fairness and equal opportunity for all," said Judy Appel, executive director of Our Family Coalition, a group that advocates for same-sex couples with children, in response to the California Supreme Court majority's refusal to delay its ruling on gay marriage. As a result of that refusal, California counties have until June 17 to start issuing marriage licenses to same-sex couples.

White letter R on blue background
June 5, 2008

Obama's VP Search Mistake By Dick Morris

On his first day as the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, Barack Obama made his first clear, serious mistake: He named Eric Holder as one of three people charged with vice-presidential vetting.

White letter R on blue background
June 5, 2008

Hillary's Latest Provocation By Robert D. Novak

Just when it seemed on the last Tuesday of the presidential primary season that Hillary Clinton would bow to the inevitable, she enraged Democrats who expected her to start strengthening Barack Obama as nominee.

White letter R on blue background
June 5, 2008

The Running Mate Dilemma By Joe Conason

The selection of a vice president is not only an exercise in political handicapping but also a national rite of statecraft. Candidates, advisers, pundits and assorted experts try to calculate the ethnic, geographic, gender and ideological characteristics of potential running mates, but what this choice actually reveals is the character of a presidential nominee.

White letter R on blue background
June 5, 2008

Health Care: the Democrats' Lost Opportunity By Froma Harrop

A remarkable thing just happened in the people's party. Democrats have chosen a candidate, in the year 2008, who does not have a plan for universal health coverage.

White letter R on blue background
June 5, 2008

Bernanke Backs King Dollar By Lawrence Kudlow

Fed chairman Ben Bernanke made big news Tuesday by singling out the weak foreign-exchange value of the U.S. dollar as the principal culprit in "the unwelcome rise in import prices and consumer price inflation."

White letter R on blue background
June 4, 2008

Obama's Iraq Achilles Heel By Dick Morris

John McCain needs to go on the offensive against Barack Obama over the Iraq war. Polls tell us that his support for the Iraq invasion is one of voters' chief problems with McCain. Obama's chief credential, on the other hand, is his early, consistent opposition to the war.

White letter R on blue background
June 4, 2008

One Great Dame By Susan Estrich

As I write this, the last voters in the last states in this seemingly endless primary process are heading to the polls, even as various news organizations have already announced that Barack Obama has reached the shifting magic number to claim a majority of the delegates.

White letter R on blue background
June 3, 2008

White Women Take the Gloves Off By Froma Harrop

The woman who shouted "McCain in '08" at the Democratic rules committee was speaking for a multitude. After mounting for months, female anger over the choreographed dumping on Hillary Clinton and her supporters has exploded -- and party loyalty be damned.

White letter R on blue background
June 2, 2008

McClellan on Plame By Robert Novak

In Scott McClellan's purported tell-all memoir of his trials as President George W. Bush's press secretary, he virtually ignores Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage's role leaking to me Valerie Plame's identity as a CIA employee.

White letter R on blue background
May 31, 2008

The Economy: A Reality Check By Michael Barone

"It's the economy, stupid," James Carville famously said during the 1992 campaign, when a young Bill Clinton was running against the other President Bush. The same could be said during this presidential campaign. The headlines are full of economic bad news -- mortgage foreclosures, the collapse of an investment bank, higher gas and food prices and lower home prices.