If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

White letter R on blue background
October 30, 2008

Questions about Obama By Debra J. Saunders

Barack Obama has waged a brilliant, disciplined campaign for the White House. To the extent that Obama's campaign demonstrates his strategic and organizational abilities, the junior Illinois senator has the potential to be a great leader.

White letter R on blue background
October 30, 2008

Sarah the Scapegoat By Joe Conason

Writing a post-mortem for John McCain's presidential candidacy would be premature. But if and when that moment comes next week, toxic staff infection will be listed as a primary cause of death.

White letter R on blue background
October 30, 2008

The Last Word--Almost By Larry Sabato

These are our 2008 election projections as of Thursday, October 30. We will make final adjustments and tweaks on Monday afternoon, November 3, and post them to the website. At that point, we will attempt to call the few remaining toss-ups.

White letter R on blue background
October 29, 2008

Is Obama Secretly Sensible? Don't Bet on It By Tony Blankley

As Obama's election has seemed to become more likely in the past six weeks, a quiet but public debate has arisen among both Republicans and Democrats that wonders which Obama we might get.

White letter R on blue background
October 29, 2008

The Back Room By Susan Estrich

I have one word of advice for the fancy folks at the Republican National Committee who shelled out $75,000 at Neiman Marcus and $50,000 at Saks Fifth Avenue, among other places, to dress Sarah Palin and family: Loehmann's.

White letter R on blue background
October 29, 2008

Obama's New New Deal No Better Than the Old One By Michael Barone

With victory in sight, Barack Obama's supporters are predicting that he will give us a new New Deal. To see what that might mean, let's look back on the original New Deal.

White letter R on blue background
October 28, 2008

Greenspan Should Have Stuck With the Clarinet By Froma Harrop

The 1949 movie of Ayn Rand's novel "The Fountainhead" ends with Patricia Neal elevating to the top of a new skyscraper to greet its godlike architect, Gary Cooper.

White letter R on blue background
October 28, 2008

Not Moderates but GOP Wimps By Debra J. Saunders

I've long considered myself a bad Republican. During the Bush administration, for example, I've felt free to whack George W. and Republicans in Congress for passing big-spending bills, such as their pork-rich 2002 farm bill, the underfunded prescription-drug bill and earmark spending. But in 2008, I find that I'm a piker in the bad Republican department.

White letter R on blue background
October 25, 2008

Reagan + Friedman + Keynes: We Need All the Help We Can Get By Lawrence Kudlow

Back in early 1981, when I went to Washington to work for President Reagan, one of the architects of supply-side economics, Columbia University's Robert Mundell, visited my OMB budget-bureau office inside the White House complex.

White letter R on blue background
October 25, 2008

A Reality Check on Obama's Wish List By Michael Barone

What will an Obama administration and a Congress with increased Democratic majorities do? That's a relevant question, given the Democrats' leads in the polls. And it's a little hard to answer, given the financial crisis that has been raging and the recession that seems to be ahead.

White letter R on blue background
October 24, 2008

Keep Worrying By Susan Estrich

My Democratic friends want to know when they can stop worrying.

White letter R on blue background
October 24, 2008

House Race Update By Larry J. Sabato, Isaac Wood, and Paul Wiley

Every week it seems to get worse for House Republicans. As we will demonstrate below, we have expanded the number of possible to likely net gains for Democrats from our previous 15 to 20 to a new and rather astounding 22 to 27 seats.

White letter R on blue background
October 23, 2008

McCain's Socialist Delusion By Joe Conason

Wherever John McCain appears on the stump in these waning days of the presidential campaign, he is always accompanied by his imaginary friend "Joe the Plumber," but it is the specter of Karl Marx that lurks just offstage.

White letter R on blue background
October 23, 2008

Democratic Wave Continues to Build By Larry Sabato

Back in 2002 and 2004, the Crystal Ball brought misery to Democrats and joy to Republicans, as we projected the solid GOP victories that occurred in those years. The cycle of politics is not to be denied, and so in 2006 and now in 2008, there is a role reversal.

White letter R on blue background
October 22, 2008

The Populism Divide By Dick Morris

As the election enters its last two weeks, social populism wars with economic populism to become the major outlet for American anger and angst and to satisfy the demand for change. In his book The Populist Persuasion, Michael Kazin articulates the difference between these two types of populism: economic and social.

White letter R on blue background
October 22, 2008

The Final Days By Susan Estrich

Losing a presidential race is not an easy thing. Losing the primary is one thing. But making it to the finals, so close you can almost taste it, and then watching it slip through your fingers is one of those experiences from which few people ever fully recover.

White letter R on blue background
October 21, 2008

This Year's Hanging Chad By Froma Harrop

Once again in Ohio, the presidential polls are tied and its 20 electoral votes up for grabs. Such scenarios generally don't lend themselves to gentle politics.

White letter R on blue background
October 21, 2008

McCain Sticks to His Guns By Debra J. Saunders

In an age of craven politics, John McCain is not afraid to swim against the tide. When Americans soured on the Iraq War and had begun telling pollsters they wanted out, McCain pushed for a surge of U.S. troops in Iraq. Today, casualties are down dramatically and Iraqi troops are defending Iraqis.

White letter R on blue background
October 18, 2008

Can Joe the Plumber Turn it Around? By Michael Barone

Can Joe Wurzelbacher, Joe the Plumber from Ohio, change the course of this campaign? That’s one question that was raised at the third presidential debate.

White letter R on blue background
October 18, 2008

Is Palin Presidential Timber? By Debra J. Saunders

Is Sarah Palin ready to be president? I haven't seen enough of the GOP vice presidential candidate to get a handle on the answer to that question. I know that she wants to finish the job in Iraq.