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Montana: Romney 53%, Obama 45%

Mitt Romney continues to draw over 50% support in Montana, although the race is tighter here than it was two months ago.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters shows Romney with 53% of the vote to Obama’s 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Montana was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Massachusetts: Obama 57%, Romney 42%

President Obama continues to dominate Mitt Romney in the presidential race in Massachusetts

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Massachusetts Voters shows Obama with 57% support to Romney's 42%. One percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET Wednesday night.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on October 10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Massachusetts: Obama 57%, Romney 42%

President Obama continues to dominate Mitt Romney in the presidential race in Massachusetts

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Massachusetts Voters shows Obama with 57% support to Romney's 42%. One percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET Wednesday night.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on October 10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Indiana: Romney 54%, Obama 41%

Indiana appears headed back to the Republican column this presidential cycle, with Mitt Romney still comfortably ahead.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Indiana shows Romney with 54% support to President Obama’s 41%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The Indiana survey of 600 Likely Voters was conducted October 10-11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports.  The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

Montana Senate: Tester (D) 48%, Rehberg (R) 48%

Democratic incumbent Jon Tester and his Republican challenger, Congressman Denny Rehberg, are now tied in Montana’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters finds Tester and Rehberg each earning 48% support. Three percent (3%) like another candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Montana Senate: Tester (D) 48%, Rehberg (R) 48%

Democratic incumbent Jon Tester and his Republican challenger, Congressman Denny Rehberg, are now tied in Montana’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters finds Tester and Rehberg each earning 48% support. Three percent (3%) like another candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Carolina Governor: McCrory (R) 52%, Dalton (D) 38%

For Pat McCrory, the former mayor of Charlotte and current Republican candidate for governor of North Carolina, the numbers continue to be encouraging.

The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of Likely North Carolina Voters shows McCrory holding a 14-point lead over his Democratic opponent, Lieutenant Governor Walter Dalton. It's McCrory 52%, Dalton 38%. Ten percent (10%) of voters remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 43%, Republicans 42%

Democrats continue to lead Republicans by one point on the Generic Congressional Ballot, this time for the week ending October 14, 2012.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 43% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 42% would choose the Republican instead.

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from October 8-14, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Indiana Senate: Mourdock (R) 47%, Donnelly (D) 42%

Republican State Treasurer Richard Mourdock now holds a five-point lead over Democratic Congressman Joe Donnelly in Indiana’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Indiana Voters shows Mourdock earning 47% of the vote to Donnelly’s 42%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 48%, Allen (R) 47%

The race to become the next U.S. senator from Virginia is about as close as it can be.The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Democrat Tim Kaine with 48% of the vote and Republican George Allen with 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while four percent (4%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Both men are former governors. Allen is hoping to reclaim the seat he lost six years ago to Democrat Jim Webb who is not seeking reelection.

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

52% Favor Repeal of Health Care Law; 71% of GOP Voters Think It’s Likely

Most voters still want to repeal President Obama’s national health care law, with Republicans strongly confident that repeal is on the way. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters favor repeal of the law, while 42% are opposed. This includes 43% who Strongly Favor repeal and 33% who are Strongly Opposed to it. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 13-14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Florida Senate: Nelson (D) 46%, Mack (R) 45%

After several months in which Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson appeared to have a comfortable lead over Republican Connie Mack in Florida’s U.S. Senate race, the race is now virtually even.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Sunshine State finds Nelson earning 46% of the vote, while Mack picks up support from 45%.  Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

New Hampshire Governor: Hassan (D) 48%, Lamontagne (R) 46%

Democrat Maggie Hassan now edges Republican Ovide Lamontagne in New Hampshire’s gubernatorial race. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Granite State finds Hassan earning 48% of the vote, while Lamontagne receives 46% support.  Six percent (6%) are still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 13, 2012

The math is pretty simple: The Big Three are Florida, Ohio and Virginia. It is virtually impossible for Mitt Romney to win the White House without winning at least two of the three, and right now he’s ahead by two in Virginia and has widened his lead in Florida to four. 

If Romney wins all three states, he is likely to win the election. President Obama can keep his job if he wins two out of the three, and the president is still holding on in Ohio where he leads by one. 

Yet while many pundits have suggested that the president’s reelection campaign is in free fall since his subpar debate performance, Scott Rasmussen argues in his latest weekly syndicated column that it’s not quite that simple. “The reality is that a very close race shifted every so slightly from narrowly favoring President Obama to narrowly favoring Mitt Romney."

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 47%, Mandel (R) 46%

Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown and his Republican challenger Josh Mandel remain locked in a tight contest in Ohio.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Brown with 47% support to Mandel’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

A week ago, the race was a 46% to 46% tie. Ohio remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings. Brown was first elected to the Senate in 2006 by a 56% to 44% margin.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 45%

President Obama continues to earn over 50% of the vote in Michigan, but his lead over Mitt Romney has narrowed a bit this month.

The latest Ramussen Reports national telephone survey finds 52% of Likely Voters in Michigan support the president, while 45% give their vote to Romney. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Michigan was conducted on October 11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Virginia: Romney 49%, Obama 47%

Mitt Romney now has a two-point lead in Virginia.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Romney with 49% of the vote, while President Obama earns 47% support. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 47%

Mitt Romney has crossed the 50% mark for the first time to widen his lead to four points in Florida.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters finds Romney with 51% support to President Obama’s 47%. Two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Wisconsin Senate: Baldwin (D) 51%, Thompson (R) 47%

Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin has reached the 50% mark of support against former Republican Governor Tommy Thompson in Wisconsin’s U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters shows Baldwin with 51% of the vote to Thompson’s 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Massachusetts Senate: Warren (D) 49%, Brown (R) 47%

After months of running even, Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren has inched ahead of Republican incumbent Scott Brown in Massachusetts' fiercely contested U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Massachusetts Voters finds Warren picking up 49% of the vote to Brown’s 47%.  Four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How are you doing in the Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on October 10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.