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What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 20, 20120

The countdown to Election Day continues. President Obama’s much-improved performance in Tuesday night’s debate seems to have stopped his downward trend in the polls but has not yet helped him regain lost ground. Republican hopes for a Senate takeover, on the other hand, are slipping away.

The daily Presidential Tracking Poll continues to show the race far too close to call, Romney has the edge in our daily Swing State survey, and the president still has a slight lead in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections. 

However, seven states with 66 Electoral Votes remain in the Toss-Up category and three states have just shifted from Toss-Up to Leans Romney.— In Florida Romney’s now up by five. In North Carolina, he’s ahead by six. And, the GOP hopeful has a double digit lead in Missouri.

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 49%, Mandel (R) 44%

Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown has moved back into the lead in his bid for reelection in Ohio.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Brown with 49% of the vote to Republican Josh Mandel’s 44%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update ? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48%

Wisconsin remains a two-point race following Tuesday night’s presidential debate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama with 50% support, while Mitt Romney earns 48% of the vote. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.  

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. 

This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 47%

Mitt Romney has now hit the 50% mark in Virginia.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters, taken two nights after the second presidential debate, shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 47%. Two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge?  Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

New Hampshire Governor: Lamontagne (R) 48%, Hassan (D) 46%

The race to be New Hampshire’s next governor remains tight.The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire voters finds Republican Ovide Lamontagne with 48% of the vote to Democrat Maggie Hassan’s 46%. Five percent (5%) are undecided at this point. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 15, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 46%

Mitt Romney has taken his biggest lead of the year in Florida and now outpaces President Obama by five points in the key swing state following Tuesday night's debate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters finds Romney with 51% support to Obama’s 46%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Carolina: Romney 52%, Obama 46%

Mitt Romney has now extended his lead to six points in North Carolina following this week's second presidential debate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Tar Heel State, taken last night, finds Romney with 52% support to President Obama’s 46%.  One percent (1%) is still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

A week ago, Romney held a three-point advantage, 51% to 48%, over the president. North Carolina now moves from a Toss-Up to Leans Romney in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. In 2008, Obama was the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry North Carolina in over 30 years.

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge?  Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 48%

The second presidential debate doesn’t appear to have made a difference in Rasmussen Reports’ first post-debate look at the race in Ohio. It’s still a toss-up.

The latest telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters, taken last night, shows President Obama with 49% support to Mitt Romney’s 48%.  One percent (1%) prefers another candidate, and two percent (2%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  onducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Nevada Senate: Heller (R) 50%, Berkley (D) 43%

Incumbent Republican Dean Heller has opened a seven-point lead over Democratic Congresswoman Shelley Berkley in Nevada’s U.S. Senate race following their second debate and a visit by Bill Clinton to the state on Berkley's behalf.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada Voters shows Heller earning 50% support to Berkley’s 43%. Four percent (4%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This race moves from a Toss-Up to Leans Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.  The presidential race in Nevada is still a Toss-Up in the Electoral College projections.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Nevada survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 15, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. 

37% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, October 14.

That’s down a point from 38% the week before which marked the highest level of optimism since June 2009. The latest finding is up 13 points from 24% at the beginning of the year and up 21 points from 16% a year ago.

From July 25 through December 11 of last year, voter confidence in the nation's current course resembled levels measured in the final months of the George W. Bush administration, remaining in the narrow range of 14% to 19%. That finding began climbing in early January of this year to a high of 34% in the second week of February and then regularly tracked in the high 20s to low 30s until the week of September 3-9.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen October 8-14, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 47%

President Obama has now hit the 50% mark again in Nevada for the first time since July.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada Voters shows Obama with 50% support to Mitt Romney's 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

Nevada remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Nationally, the race is closer in the Daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Nevada was conducted on October 15, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 49%

The race for New Hampshire’s Electoral College votes remains a toss-up.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds the president with 50% support to Mitt Romney’s 49%. Only one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an IPad: Take the Rasmussen Challenge. This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 15, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Montana: Romney 53%, Obama 45%

Mitt Romney continues to draw over 50% support in Montana, although the race is tighter here than it was two months ago.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters shows Romney with 53% of the vote to Obama’s 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge for a chance to win an IPad. This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight. 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Montana was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Massachusetts: Obama 57%, Romney 42%

President Obama continues to dominate Mitt Romney in the presidential race in Massachusetts

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Massachusetts Voters shows Obama with 57% support to Romney's 42%. One percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET Wednesday night.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on October 10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Massachusetts: Obama 57%, Romney 42%

President Obama continues to dominate Mitt Romney in the presidential race in Massachusetts

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Massachusetts Voters shows Obama with 57% support to Romney's 42%. One percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET Wednesday night.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on October 10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Indiana: Romney 54%, Obama 41%

Indiana appears headed back to the Republican column this presidential cycle, with Mitt Romney still comfortably ahead.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Indiana shows Romney with 54% support to President Obama’s 41%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The Indiana survey of 600 Likely Voters was conducted October 10-11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports.  The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

Montana Senate: Tester (D) 48%, Rehberg (R) 48%

Democratic incumbent Jon Tester and his Republican challenger, Congressman Denny Rehberg, are now tied in Montana’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters finds Tester and Rehberg each earning 48% support. Three percent (3%) like another candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge for a chance to win an IPad.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Montana Senate: Tester (D) 48%, Rehberg (R) 48%

Democratic incumbent Jon Tester and his Republican challenger, Congressman Denny Rehberg, are now tied in Montana’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters finds Tester and Rehberg each earning 48% support. Three percent (3%) like another candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge for a chance to win an IPad.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Carolina Governor: McCrory (R) 52%, Dalton (D) 38%

For Pat McCrory, the former mayor of Charlotte and current Republican candidate for governor of North Carolina, the numbers continue to be encouraging.

The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of Likely North Carolina Voters shows McCrory holding a 14-point lead over his Democratic opponent, Lieutenant Governor Walter Dalton. It's McCrory 52%, Dalton 38%. Ten percent (10%) of voters remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge for a chance to win an IPad.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 43%, Republicans 42%

Democrats continue to lead Republicans by one point on the Generic Congressional Ballot, this time for the week ending October 14, 2012.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 43% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 42% would choose the Republican instead.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. 

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from October 8-14, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.