Maine Senate: Jackson 49%, Collins 46%

Democrat challenger Troy Jackson leads by three points over Maine Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who is seeking her sixth term in the Senate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the election were held today, 49% of Likely Maine voters would vote for Jackson, while 46% would vote for Collins. Five percent (5%) of Maine voters are not sure. In early October, Jackson led by two points, 49% to 47%. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Jackson is supported by 82% of Democratic voters, as well as eight percent (8%) of Republicans and 55% of voters not affiliated with either major party. Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Republicans would vote for Collins, along with 13% of Democrats and 40% of unaffiliated voters.

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The survey of 896 Maine Likely Voters was conducted on October 27-November 2, 2026 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Eighty-four percent (84%) of all Maine Likely Voters say they’re excited about voting in the midterm elections, including 54% who are Very Excited. More Democrats (61%) than Republicans (54%) or unaffiliated voters (46%) are Very Excited to vote in the midterms.

Sixty-two percent (62%) of all Maine Likely Voters say they have taken advantage of early voting either in person (39%) or by mail (23%), while 37% will wait until Election Day. More Democrats (67%) than Republicans (64%) or unaffiliated voters (54%) have voted early.

The “gender gap” is now a net 16 points in the Maine Senate race, with women voters favoring Jackson 53% to 42%, while men prefer Collins 50% to 45%.

Forty-eight percent (48%) of whites, 68% of black voters, 70% of Hispanics and 61% of other minorities would vote for Jackson, while 47% of whites, 27% of black voters, 25% of Hispanics and 34% of other minorities would vote for Collins.

Jackson leads by a 17-point margin, 56% to 39%, among Maine voters ages 50 to 64. Collins leads by a 21-point margin, 58% to 37% among those in their 40s.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of self-identified Very Liberal voters in Maine support Jackson, while 92% of Very Conservative voters favor Collins. Among moderate voters, Jackson leads 58% to 37%.

Breaking down the Maine electorate by income categories, Collins leads by 35 points among voters earning more than $200,000 a year, while Jackson has a 19-point lead among those with annual incomes below $30,000.

Among those who voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election, 78% would vote for Jackson, while 80% of Donald Trump voters support Collins

South Carolina’s Republican Attorney General Alan Wilson leads Democratic state Rep. Jermaine Johnson in the election to become the next governor of the Palmetto State. 

South Carolina Republican Sen. Darline Graham narrowly leads Democratic challenger Annie Andrews in the contest for the seat formerly held by the late Sen. Lindsey Graham.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to the public as well as to Platinum Members.

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