Election 2024: Trump 49%, Harris 44%
Former President Donald Trump still leads Vice President Kamala Harris, but the margin has narrowed, especially when third-party candidates are factored into this year’s election.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 44% would vote for Harris. Four percent (4%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and two percent (2%) are undecided. A week ago, Trump led by seven points over Harris, 50% to 43%, in the first survey since President Joe Biden announced he would withdraw his reelection bid. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
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The survey of 2,163 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on July 24-25 and 28-31, 2024 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research.
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